Wissing describes how an irrational obsession with leaving the coalition overrode all sensible political reasoning inside the FDP, with dissenting voices being shouted down. The resulting electoral collapse to 4.4% and then 2.1% was, in his view, a entirely avoidable historical mistake driven by ego rather than responsibility.
Fulda's scenario shows how a seemingly minor incident like a downed fighter jet could give China a pretext to impose a naval blockade on Taiwan, especially if the US is preoccupied and unwilling to intervene. The scenario is framed not as pure fiction but as a realistic near-future risk.
A Chinese intervention against Taiwan could wipe out ten trillion dollars of global wealth in the first year alone, making it one of the most economically devastating events imaginable. Germany and Europe would be among the hardest hit due to deep integration in global supply chains.
Wissing has published a firsthand account of why the Ampel coalition broke apart, offering rare insider detail on how groupthink and ego politics override rational governance. Reading it gives concrete lessons applicable to any organizational context where loyalty culture silences critical voices.
Seek out structured 'what if' scenario work like Fulda's Taiwan blockade model rather than relying solely on news commentary, as it forces concrete thinking about second-order effects. Subscribing to think-tank outputs or academic scenario reports can sharpen your ability to anticipate rather than just react.
Wissing's account shows that by the time he raised alarms inside the FDP he was shouted down because the momentum had become unstoppable — intervening earlier in groupthink dynamics is far more effective. In your own team or organization, build the habit of naming escalating irrationality before it reaches the point of no return.
mindmap
root((Markus Lanz 02.04.2026))
FDP-Krise
Koalitions-Fanatismus
Historischer Fehler
Wahlergebnis 4,4 Prozent
Ampel-Scheitern
Wissings Buch
Ego über Vernunft
Kooperation gefordert
Taiwan-Konflikt 2027
Abgestürzter Kampfjet
Chinesische Seeblockade
USA greifen nicht ein
Globale Folgen
10 Billionen Verlust
Chips als neues Öl
Europa stark betroffen
Gäste
Wissing Ex-Minister FDP
Fulda Politikwissenschaftler
Felix Lee China-Experte
Höning Wirtschaftsjournalistin